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major bounce back from the lows of 2020, reaching a high of over US$65 in March 2021. Led by China, consumer demand is booming and commodities are experiencing what some even call a super cycle, which in
contraction was -3% vs Q1 2019. This will be much worse in Q2 with a double-digit contraction, and on annualized basis, the IMF forecast for Thailand is now -6.5% in FY 2020 with a bounce back expected in 2021